Telling Tomorrow’s Story: Predicting Your Hospital’s 2025 Stars

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A futuristic image depicting the calculation of a future forecast for a quality star rating. Include some images of bar graphs, pie charts, computers, and cloud computing. The industry is healthcare.

Your hospital’s quality rating tells a story – but what’s the next chapter? Our predictive analytics tool helps you write it.

Every presentation of star ratings to senior leaders inevitably ends with the same critical question:

“How many stars will we have next year?”

You may have just finished explaining how your hospital received its current star rating. However, the story of your hospital’s quality journey needs both historical perspective and future vision. Without the latter, your hospital’s quality reputation cannot move forward.

Today’s healthcare leaders need more to the story than simply historical data. They need foresight to allocate resources effectively and drive continuous improvement. That’s why we’ve developed a predictive tool for July 2025 hospital star ratings, based on October 2024 Care Compare data.

Behind the Estimates

Our methodology leverages several key factors from Medicare’s public data:

  • July star ratings use quality metrics published the previous January, some dating back to July of the prior year
  • Quarterly-updated metrics (patient experience, HAIs) provide increasingly accurate predictions
  • CMS’s public calculation software enables precise modeling

While these estimates assume consistent methodology between 2024 and 2025, they provide valuable insights for strategic planning.

Making the Most of Your Star Rating Predictions

You can use this dashboard to find the estimated July 2025 hospital star ratings for any eligible hospital. Then, you can share these estimates with your leadership so they can plan for the next chapter of your hospital’s quality story.

These predictions empower your organization to:

  • Identify and communicate potential changes in star performance before they happen
  • Develop targeted improvement initiatives focused on the quality metrics that will truly impact your star rating
  • Shift to proactive rather than reactive quality strategies

Take Action Today

As healthcare quality professionals, these analytics can be used within the story of where the quality in your organization is headed in the future. By providing an estimate of future hospital star rating, you can help the leaders of your organization create plans and dedicate resources for continuous improvement.

If you are looking for additional support, our team of healthcare quality experts can help you interpret your projected stars and develop targeted improvement strategies.

Ready to start the next chapter of your hospital’s star ratings?

  • Contact Us to schedule a complementary consultation with CareKate Analytics to gain deeper insights about your hospital’s future star ratings.

Disclaimer: These predictions use Care Compare data published in October 2024 and current CMS methodology software. While we strive for accuracy, Medicare may modify data or calculation methods without notice. CareKate Analytics is not responsible for errors, changes in methodology, or decisions made based on these estimates. These projections should be used as one of many tools in your quality improvement planning. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Use at your own risk.

References:

Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services. (n.d-a). Hospitals datasets. https://data.cms.gov/provider-data/search?theme=Hospitals

Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services. (n.d-b). Statistical Analysis System (SAS) package. https://qualitynet.cms.gov/inpatient/public-reporting/overall-ratings/sas

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